Suns vs nuggets game 3 odds9/14/2023 ![]() ![]() On the series line, the model dropped Phoenix from a 24% chance to win it all to 14%, which equates to about +615. ![]() The SportsLine Projection Model's simulated line dropped the Suns from -6 to -4.5 with the Paul injury, which is pretty much in line with the book - although the Suns were as low as -3.5 at one point. The Rockets led the Golden State Warriors 3-2 in the series and looked like the better team with Paul in the lineup, but he missed the final two games with a hamstring strain, and the Warriors rallied to win in seven and then repeat as NBA champions – the only repeat title (so far) of that dynasty. At +155 on the moneyline, Denver is getting 76% of the bets and 68% of the money.įriday will be Paul's ninth career playoff game missed due to injury, with his most notable previous injury coming in the 2018 Western Conference Finals while with Houston. ![]() On the total of 225.5, 53% of the bets and 59% of the money are on the Over. Meanwhile, just 31% of the bets and 28% of the money are on the Suns against the spread. Payne has been a popular player prop wager in Game 3 but so far the three most wagered are at BetMGM: Kevin Durant Over 28.5 points (-120), Durant Over 2.5 three-pointers (+130), and Jamal Murray Over 22.5 points (-115). He's averaging 3.5 points, 2.0 rebounds and 1.0 assists in 11 minutes per game in this series and played just three total minutes in Round 1 vs. Phoenix has outscored its opponents by 39 points over seven games with Paul on the floor. The soon-to-be 39-year-old (on Saturday) is averaging 12.4 points and 7.4 assists per game this postseason. That Paul can't play four days later is obviously a red flag. He checked out of the game with 4:32 remaining in the quarter, immediately went to the locker room, and did not return. Paul was hurt trying to box out Nuggets guard Kentavious Caldwell-Pope late in the third quarter in Game 2 on Monday. While the Suns are -4.5 for Friday at BetMGM, their title odds got longer at the book and in the SportsLine Projection Model. He will not play in Game 3 on Friday as the series shifts to the desert, and could be out until Game 5 at the earliest. Phoenix's chances of winning it all this year took a huge hit in Game 2 of their Western Conference playoff series against Denver when Paul left with a groin injury. The Suns' Chris Paul is a first-ballot Hall of Famer and arguably one of the 10 best point guards in league history, but there is one glaring omission on his resume - a ring. ![]()
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